Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $952,439$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,009,133.3}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 149.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,009,133.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $35,685$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,530.0}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 128.7)}}\) (asimptote \(35,530.0\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $29,735$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,399,431$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,684,628.3}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 205.1)}}\) (asimptote \(1,684,628.3\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $37,941$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{45,596.2}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 201.5)}}\) (asimptote \(45,596.2\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $134,828$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,204,220$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,011,486.1}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 147.3)}}\) (asimptote \(6,011,486.1\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $171,460$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{168,208.6}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 126.2)}}\) (asimptote \(168,208.6\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $475,873$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $545,662$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{498,911.7}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 117.0)}}\) (asimptote \(498,911.7\))
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $15,235$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,985.3}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 115.4)}}\) (asimptote \(13,985.3\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,180$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $144,390$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{143,669.7}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 132.8)}}\) (asimptote \(143,669.7\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $8,939$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,233.5}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 143.4)}}\) (asimptote \(9,233.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $14,731$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $188,138$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{216,910.5}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 166.9)}}\) (asimptote \(216,910.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $13,316$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,204.4}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 166.3)}}\) (asimptote \(16,204.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $10,813$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,280,487$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,293,998.9}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 176.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,293,998.9\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,019$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,869.2}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 154.6)}}\) (asimptote \(34,869.2\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $62,715$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $79,517$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{83,935.2}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 200.8)}}\) (asimptote \(83,935.2\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,704$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,760.7}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 195.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,760.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $21,303$ on 2020-11-26